The Next Big Thing

The Internet of Things: it’s a really big deal
Within a few years, the Internet of Things is going to be worth trillions of dollars

John Naughton
The Observer, Saturday 14 June 2014

Get yourself connected: a webcam in the living room will be able to text you when the cat’s been sick on the sofa. Photograph: Peter Menzel/The Human Face of Big Data
Good morning! Or evening, if you happen to be reading this on the other side of the world. Our topic for today is the internet. What? You already know about the internet? No, no, I don’t mean that internet, the boring old one you use to access YouTube and send Facebook updates, email and tweets and stuff. That’s the internet of people and it’s so, well, yesterday. I’m talking about the new internet, which is going to be the latest thing Real Soon Now.

It’s called the Internet of Things or IoT and it’s got everybody very excited over in Silicon Valley, where they hyperventilate a lot about technology. When you ask them what it is they say things such as “a global, immersive, invisible, ambient networked computing environment built through the continued proliferation of smart sensors, cameras, software, databases and massive data centres in a world-spanning information fabric”.

Translated into English, that means billions of gadgets, each one of them connected to the internet and communicating madly with one another without much in the way of human intervention. So your fridge can talk to your smartphone to tell it that you’re running out of milk, while your bathroom scales messages your GP’s computer to let it know that you’re not sticking to your diet plan, and the webcam in your living room sends you a text to tell you that the cat has been sick on the sofa, and cool stuff like that.

You think I jest? Think again. I tell you, this thing is Big. Why, only the other day, an outfit called IDC said that the Internet of Things is going to generate a staggering $7.1tn in sales by 2020. No, that’s not a misprint: I meant trillions. Who is this IDC? It’s a “market intelligence” firm, apparently. And yes I know it sounds like an oxymoron, like “military intelligence”, but the whole of the tech industry takes these guys seriously because everyone needs numbers to justify their investments. How else would Facebook have known that WhatsApp was worth $19bn?

Like I said, everybody who is anybody in the tech business is very turned on by the IoT. It’s going to make lots of money – oh, and it’ll change the world, too. Of course there are some boring old creeps who keep raining on the parade. Spoilsports, I call them. There are, for example, the “security” experts who think that the IoT opens up horrendous vulnerabilities for our networked society. Hackers in Azerbaijan could get control of our “smart” electricity meters and shut down the whole of East Anglia with the click of a mouse. Pshaw! As if the folks in Azerbaijan even knew there was such a place as East Anglia. Or some guy in Anonymous could remotely jam the accelerator in your car so that you drive into your garage at 130mph even when you have your foot firmly on the brake. As if!

That’s why it’s sooo annoying when the media publicise scare stories about security lapses involving connected gadgets. I mean to say, how could TRENDnet have known that its “secure” security webcams weren’t really secure at all? It’s not its fault that a hacker broke into the SecurView camera software and told other people how to do it. The result, according to the US Federal Trade Commission, was that “hackers posted links to the live feeds of nearly 700 of the cameras. The feeds displayed babies asleep in their cribs, young children playing and adults going about their daily lives”.

This is so unfair. Poor old TRENDnet makes security cameras. Why should it know anything about internet security? Same story for Toyota and Volvo and co. They make cars – bloody good ones, too. Sure, they have a lot of electronics in them, but that’s just standalone engine-management kit. Nothing to do with networks. Why should they be pilloried just because they know nothing about network security?

What’s that? You’ve found an IDC report from last October saying the Internet of Things would produce $8.9tn in sales by 2020. So the IoT has “lost” $1.8tn in eight months? Well, yes, I have to agree it doesn’t look good, especially for the Next Big Thing, but, hey, what’s $1.8tn between friends when we’re talking about the future of civilisation? And no, I don’t think that William Goldman’s crack that “nobody knows anything” has any relevance here. He was writing about Hollywood, for God’s sake. We’re talking about the tech business. Different thing entirely.

Reinventing the Book Shop

LET’S REINVENT THE BOOKSHOP

Bookshops are closing down like nobody’s business. So do they need rethinking for the electronic age? Rosanna de Lisle asks four firms of architects and designers to create the bookshop of their dreams

From INTELLIGENT LIFE magazine, May/June 2014

Books3

When online shopping offers choice, convenience and competitive prices, why would anyone go to an actual shop? To try on clothes, perhaps. To sit on sofas or lie on beds. But if you’re after music, film or books, you’re more likely to go straight to the internet. In the digital age, bricks-and-mortar shops have to work much harder to attract our attention, let alone custom. Brands rip out and refit their stores every few years: interior design is, clearly, already crucial to their fortunes. But could design go further, and lure us away from our tablets and back onto the high street?

Curious to explore this territory, we asked four leading architecture and design practices to create a shop. Specifically, in the age of Amazon and e-books, a bookshop to save bookshops. Traditional bookselling has been hit particularly hard by the shift to online shopping. First the sales went digital—to Amazon. Then the product went digital—again, largely to Amazon, whose Kindle e-readers are configured only to read e-books in Kindle format. In Britain, the number of independent bookshops fell by a third between 2005 and the end of 2013, to 987; in America, it fell from 2,400 to 1,900 between 2002 and 2011, although there has been a modest revival since. Some of the reasons for this decline apply to the whole high street—the recession, edge-of-town superstores, crippling business rates—but Amazon has struck by far the mightiest blow.

Still, independent bookshops inspire great affection, and the best of them, such as Lutyens & Rubinstein in west London, run by literary agents, offer more astute personal advice than an algorithm ever could. What indies seldom do is integrate technology beyond the till, or sell e-books. They will surely need to innovate to survive.

We gave each practice—Gensler, 20.20, Burdifi­lek and Coffey Architects—the same brief. They were to design a general-interest bookshop, selling fiction, non-fiction and e-books, in store and online, on a typical European high-street site, with two floors of 1,000 square feet each. The budget was £100,000—modest, we knew, but independent booksellers aren’t minted and that figure was ring-fenced for the fit-out; they could assume there would be further funds for training staff or running events. The shop could be called Intelligent Life Books, or given another name.

We were expecting some arresting design and clever innovation, but got a lot more than that. If the brief was to redesign the bookshop, they reinvented it.

You might have expected as much from Gensler (right), where the brief was taken on by Jon Tollit, who led the team that designed much of the Apple Store on Regent Street in central London. When it opened in 2004, the Apple Store made instant retail history by putting its products on tables for customers to use, removing tills and providing staff so knowledgeable that “you can ask anyone any question”.

In January, I went to Gensler’s London office—one of 46 around the world—to see the work in progress. We began with Tollit’s associate, Owain Roberts, laying out the firm’s ideas in black and white, unfurling a long scroll of tracing paper on which he had mapped out the challenges facing booksellers with pen and ink, distilling them in drawings and diagrams of startling clarity.

Their analysis was stark: “Design on its own will not save the bookshop.” But Roberts was undaunted. “If you leave the model as it is and redecorate, nothing’s going to change. The solution needs to be much more fundamental: informed, strategic and daring.” The bookshop, as Gensler saw it, had to anticipate every sort of literary need, from grabbing a paperback or download, to relaxed browsing, personally tailored reading-lists, self-publishing, book clubs, author events and even an enhanced experience of reading a book in the bookish equivalent of a flotation tank.

A week later, Roberts produces a bird’s-eye view of Gensler’s bookshop, another disarmingly simple drawing containing a lot of original ideas. The first surprise is that you don’t have to enter the store to shop from it: the glass façade is a touchscreen that can be tapped on to download e-books from QR codes. The choice could be infinite—“the whole catalogue of the British Library,” said Roberts, taking on Amazon with a sheet of smart glass.

A vending wall swings out onto the pavement, popping out a changing selection of paperbacks. Inside, new titles are laid out on a long table that marches down the space. To one side, there’s a “Harry Potter wonderwall of discovery”, to be explored by ladder (ignoring, for the moment, health and safety). While customers can be in and out of the shop in a matter of minutes, the back half of the store caters to those who can stay longer. Literary sommeliers advise on what to read next, or usher you into a pod for a multi­sensory experience: you curl up and read a hardback with an appropriate drink (tea for Austen, whisky for Hemingway), soundtrack or even smell. Readers wanting a more social experience gather on bleacher seating (“simple timber steps with cushions”) to take part in book clubs, hear an author give a talk or discuss self-publishing, which can be done via screens in the far left-hand corner.

At the back is a floor-to-ceiling wall of books, their spines arranged to spell tl;dr—short for “too long; didn’t read”. As Gensler’s name for the shop, it’s a confident bit of irony: if anywhere could excite a reluctant reader, distracted by social media, into buying a book, it would surely be this tech-smart bookshop. It’s also a compelling bit of graphic design. “It’s a very analogue way of signing,” Roberts says, “but by using the product itself it becomes a sculptural installation. There’s a big visual pull towards the back of the store.”

One thing noticeably absent is the till. “You remove that negative element completely, so that precious floorspace is given over to experience rather than transaction.” Also, if payment can be taken instantly by a staff member with a card reader, “you sell a lot more. You don’t allow the customer to wander off and change their mind.” Nor, with the touchscreen façade, does the store ever shut: “This space has an ability to be shopped and interacted with 24 hours a day.”

As they’ve drawn it, tl;dr seems a destination store, somewhere you’d happily spend a Sunday afternoon, but Roberts and Tollit also produce diagrams showing the concept as “a kit of parts” to “plug in and play” according to location and audience. At a railway station, tl;dr might be just a download-and-vending wall. In a hipster neighbourhood such as Hoxton or Williamsburg, it might feel more like a club. “It can grow, shrink and respond to the way people are shopping the store or it could pop up elsewhere.” Putting a tl;dr vending machine at the end of Brighton Pier, for example, where it would sell “Brighton Rock”, and promote the nearest fully equipped store.

With so many ideas for what the shop could do, it feels almost plodding to ask what it might be made of. The team haven’t designed the fixtures and fittings in any detail, beyond knowing that they could be moved about to adapt the space for events. “The decoration is incidental to the activities taking place,” Roberts argues. And the retail model is changing so fast that “the days when a fit-out would last five years are long gone”. The current trend for pop-up shops is not just a consequence of the recession but a symptom of the need to experiment in response to changing shopping habits. “‘Fail quicker’ is the buzz,” Tollit says. “You don’t want to invest huge amounts of time and money, and then fail. You fail quicker so that you can move on.”

The point about not blowing the budget on architecture but instead focusing on programming the space was also made by 20.20, a strategic design consultancy with a humming, open-plan office in north London. It was 20.20 that turned Sainsbury’s supermarkets orange and achieved the “Arsenalisation” of the Emirates stadium by wrapping it in huge images of players of the past. “People won’t go into a shop because the ceiling’s beautiful,” Jon Lee, 20.20’s creative director, told me. “They’ll go in because the experience is relevant to their lifestyle. It’s what you do in a space that’s really important.”

In 20.20’s bookshop (top) people could do all sorts of things: download reviews and e-books (which would be discounted if bought in person), buy printed books from a frequently edited selection, consult well-informed staff, have a coffee or sandwich, read in cubby­holes, listen to audio books, watch a performance by an author, rent a desk at which to write or illustrate, and self-publish on the in-house printing press. The shop would be called The Art of Storytelling, the thinking being that stories endure, no matter what form books take.

Lee and Jim Thompson, 20.20’s managing director, talked persuasively about the nuts and bolts of their bookshop. Like many, it would have a café, but theirs came with a twist: a Yo! Sushi-style conveyor belt delivering short reads and reviews to consume with your coffee. This would act as a draw to the back of the shop—“you need some kind of anchor,” Lee said—while mobile “mid-floor units” carry screens to advertise events, and books that fit a frequently changed theme, such as the ten best adventure stories. These units (at hip height, “because we all tend to look down”) also offer some cover at the threshold—a place for nervous shoppers to hover while they orientate themselves in an unfamiliar place.

To get them upstairs, there’s a staircase. And a tree. “We always believe there should be some kind of ‘wow’ in a space that draws you in,” Lee said. “So this central feature, representing a tree, links the two spaces through a hole in the floor, with lightbulbs dangling from the structure.”

The books would be front-facing “to ping out the covers” against charcoal shelves. Strong visual merchandising, but wouldn’t it mean fewer books? Not if some were kept in drawers, with one book on the front of the drawer and the rest of the author’s work inside. The department store Liberty did something similar, putting “the shirt on the front, with a tie,” Thompson said, “and you pulled the drawer out and all the sizes were stacked behind”.

Like Gensler, 20.20 were unfazed by the tight budget. The tree, conveyor belt and drawers would eat up most of the money, Lee said, while “everything else is quite inexpensive and easy to produce”. This strategy seems sound: woo customers through the doorwith a few striking features and then make it as easy as possible for them to buy something. As soon as they have their nose in a book, they’re not going to mind if the floor isn’t parquet.

Top A “wow” tree: 20.20’s tree structure tells people there are two storeys to explore (the stairs are tucked behind the back wall), where they can read in little sheds or listen to audiobooks on benches. Books are stacked in drawers (far left), one per author—”perhaps two for Dickens”

Above All things to all readers: customers can download an e-book or buy a paperback in an instant at the front of Gensler’s multi-faceted bookshop, or immerse themselves in a literary experience for hours at the back.

The Great Barrier Reef

The Great Barrier Reef
A world in water

Myths and mavericks in the world’s greatest marine site
May 31st 2014 | From the print edition
Timekeeper
The Reef, A Passionate History: The Great Barrier Reef from Captain Cook to Climate Change. By Iain McCalman. Farrar, Straus and Giroux; 377 pages; $27. Scribe; £20. Buy from Amazon.com, Amazon.co.uk

WHEN Captain Cook’s ship, the Endeavour, snared on coral in 1770, the Great Barrier Reef became his “labyrinth of shoals”, a life-threatening trap. About 30 years later, Matthew Flinders, a British navigator, saw the reef in a different light. Flinders is best known for circumnavigating Australia, and for giving the continent its name. Less well known is that he was the first European to discover the reef for its beauty. To Flinders, its corals were a “new creation” with shapes “excelling in grandeur the most favourite parterre of the curious florist”. For Charlie Veron, a scientist who has seen more of the corals from underwater than anyone, the legacy after two centuries of human impact casts a more chilling sight. Watching the reef’s disintegration, and perhaps its extinction, is “like seeing a house on fire in slow motion”.

Iain McCalman, a historian at the University of Sydney, has written a masterly biography of the Great Barrier Reef through 12 stories like these. The idea came to him in 2001 when he joined a group of historians, literary scholars, astronomers, botanists and indigenous guides aboard a replica of Cook’s ship to re-enact his 18th-century voyage. Most visitors today see the world’s largest reef as a tourist destination. Mr McCalman found it so vast that no human mind can take it in except, perhaps, “astronauts who’ve seen its full length from outer space”.

The reef extends about 2,400km (1,500 miles) along Australia’s east coast, almost to Papua New Guinea, covering an area half the size of Texas. Like Mr McCalman’s shipmates, and the colourful figures who inhabit his stories, people are still trying to make sense of the reef’s origins and character. Scientists on Lizard Island opened Mr McCalman’s eyes to the most critical chapter of its story: its ailing health. Rising sea temperatures, linked to global warming, have bleached the colour from much of its coral. Over the past 27 years, half its coral has died, thanks to the bleaching, cyclones and the spread of the predatory crown-of-thorns starfish.

Judith Wright, a distinguished Australian poet, helped launch one of the first conservation movements to save the reef in the 1960s. She saw its fate as a microcosm of the fate of the planet. Wright and her allies (a forestry scientist and an artist) wanted Australians to see the reef as an “affirmative” national myth. That ideal has always struggled against political pressures to develop mineral resources adjacent to the reef. Mr McCalman suggests it also suffered from earlier myth-making, particularly about the indigenous inhabitants of the reef’s coasts and islands whom European explorers, scientists and beachcombers encountered.

The biggest myth surrounds the story of Eliza Fraser, a shipwrecked castaway who lived among aborigines in 1836, before a white man rescued her. John Curtis, a London journalist, wrote up Mrs Fraser’s story as a sensational Victorian tale that pandered to the racial prejudices of the time: a ravished lady plucked from a world of sexually predatory savages and cannibals. There were other castaways: Barbara Thompson, whom the reef’s Kaurareg people saw as a “ghost maiden” come back from the dead; and James Morrill, a Briton, and Narcisse Pelletier, a Frenchman. All survived with natives for years before re-entering white society. Yet, says Mr McCalman, the toxic myth of Curtis’s version endures still; it has even influenced versions of Eliza Fraser’s story by Sidney Nolan, an artist, and Patrick White, a Nobel prize-winning novelist.

If Mr McCalman has a hero perhaps it is Joseph Jukes, the first naturalist charged with mapping the reef’s coral structures. Jukes’s observations on his 1843 expedition seemed to endorse Charles Darwin’s theory that slowly sinking ocean floors spurred coral growth. Jukes had a more open attitude towards the local population than any European predecessor: almost everything he saw contradicted the natives’ reputation for savagery.

The Great Barrier Reef, “the most impressive marine area in the world”, was listed as a UNESCO World Heritage Site in 1981, giving a sense of urgency to the environmental problems that have mounted steadily since Cook’s voyage. Mr McCalman’s sweeping and absorbing history is well timed. UNESCO recently announced that as a result of industrial development and dredging along the Queensland coast, the reef could be put on its “world heritage in danger” list as early as next year. The battle that Wright termed a “finale without an ending” still rages.

From the print edition: Books and arts

D Day at 70

Remembering the Greatest Generation

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General Eisenhower speaks with paratroopers prior to the invasion. (Library of Congress)

Victor Davis Hanson
Seventy years ago this June 6, the Americans, British, and Canadians stormed the beaches of Normandy in the largest amphibious invasion of Europe since the Persian king Xerxes invaded Greece in 480 B.C.

About 160,000 troops landed on five Normandy beaches and linked up with airborne troops in a masterful display of planning and courage. Within a month, almost a million Allied troops had landed in France and were heading eastward toward the German border. Within eleven months the war with Germany was over.

The western front required the diversion of hundreds of thousands of German troops. It weakened Nazi resistance to the Russians while robbing the Third Reich of its valuable occupied European territory.
The impatient and long-suffering Russians had demanded of their allies a second front commensurate with their own sacrifices. Their Herculean efforts by war’s end would account for two out of every three dead German soldiers — at a cost of 20 million Russian civilian and military casualties.

Yet for all the sacrifices of the Soviet Union, Joseph Stalin was largely responsible for his war with Nazi Germany. In 1939, he signed a foolish non-aggression pact with Hitler that allowed the Nazis to gobble up Western democracies. Hitler’s Panzers were aided by Russians in Poland and overran Western Europe fueled by supplies from the Soviets.

The Western Allies had hardly been idle before D-Day. They had taken North Africa and Sicily from the Germans and Italians. They were bogged down in brutal fighting in Italy. The Western Allies and China fought the Japanese in the Pacific, Burma, and China.

The U.S. and the British Empire fought almost everywhere. They waged a multiform war on and under the seas. They eventually destroyed Japanese and German heavy industry with a costly and controversial strategic-bombing campaign.

The Allies sent friends such as the Russians and Chinese billions of dollars worth of food and war matériel.

In sum, while Russia bore the brunt of the German land army, the Western Allies fought all three Axis powers everywhere else and in every conceivable fashion.

Yet if D-Day was brilliantly planned and executed, the follow-up advance through France in June 1944 was not always so. The Allies seemed to know the texture of every beach in Normandy, but nothing about the thick bocage just a few miles inland from Omaha Beach. The result was that the Americans were bogged down in the French hedgerows for almost seven weeks until late July — suffering about 10 times as many casualties as were lost from the Normandy landings.

So how did the Allies get from the beaches of Normandy to Germany in less than a year? Largely by overwhelming the Wehrmacht with lots of good soldiers and practical war matériel. If German tanks, mines, machine guns, and artillery were superbly crafted, their more utilitarian American counterparts were good enough — and about 10 times as numerous. Mechanically intricate German Tiger and Panther tanks could usually knock out durable American Sherman tanks, but the Americans produced almost 50,000 of the latter, and the Germans fewer than 8,000 of the former.

Over Normandy, British and American fighter aircraft not only were as good as or better than German models but were far more numerous. By mid 1944, Germany had produced almost no four-engine bombers. The British and Americans had built almost 50,000 that by 1944 were systematically leveling German cities.

Winston Churchill and Franklin Roosevelt were far more pragmatic supreme commanders than the increasingly delusional and sick Adolf Hitler. American war planners such as George Marshall, Dwight Eisenhower, and Alan Brooke understood grand strategy better than the more experienced German chief of staff. Allied field generals such as George S. Patton and Bernard Montgomery were comparable to German legends like Gerd von Rundstedt or Erwin Rommel, who were worn out by 1944.

The German soldier was the more disciplined, experienced, armed, and deadly warrior of World War II. But his cause was bad, and by 1944 his enemies were far more numerous and far better supplied. No soldiers fought better on their home soil than did the Russians, and none more resourcefully abroad than the British Tommy and the American G.I., when bolstered by ample air, armor, and artillery support.

Omaha Beach to central Germany was about the same distance as the Russian front to Berlin. But the Western Allies covered the same approximate ground in about a quarter of the time as had the beleaguered Russians.

D-Day ushered in the end of the Third Reich. It was the most brilliantly conducted invasion in military history, and probably no one but a unique generation of British, Canadians, and Americans could have pulled it off.

Another Bad Idea from Governments

Innovation by fiat

Well-meaning governments are killing the continent’s startups with kindness

May 17th 2014 | From the print edition
Timekeeper

IN A suburban office on the road to Luxembourg airport, a small group of civil servants is busy picking the next generation of European venture capitalists. Every year, hundreds of would-be financiers set out their stalls at the European Investment Fund (EIF), a body financed by the European Union, hoping they will be given money to create the next Facebook.

Europe has never been able to muster nearly the same quantity or quality of venture capital (VC) as Silicon Valley. That is frustrating to its politicians, who see venture capitalists as job-creating innovation machines, and love them nearly as much as they loathe other financial types. But investors who put up such capital in other parts of the world, such as pension funds, banks and billionaires, are not especially eager to funnel money to startups battling to thrive in Europe’s often hostile business environment. By and large, the politicians’ solution has not been to make the environment friendlier to business, thus increasing entrepreneurs’ chances of luring private-sector backing. Instead, they have replaced the reticent financiers with state-funded bureaucrats.

In this section
Innovation by fiat
One dollar, one vote
Electronic arm-twisting
Supersize me
Too small to torture
The great escape
Still waiting
The opposite of insurance
Reprints
Related topics
Industries
Financial services
Private-equity firms
Venture capital firms
Europe
Nearly 40% of all the funds pumped into European VC last year came from state-backed sources, up from just 14% in 2007 (see chart). The EIF alone ploughed €600m ($800m) into VC funds last year, out of a Europe-wide total of €4 billion. On top of this, nearly every country has its own pet programme to back chosen venture capitalists.

Despite taxpayers’ generosity, few think Europe’s VC industry has much chance of attracting American levels of capital from private investors, given its feeble record. Venture capital in Europe has delivered returns of just 2.1% a year since 1990, according to Thomson Reuters, making it perhaps the worst investment class outside Japan (American VC managed around 13%). The 2008 crash, which came just as investors were getting over the fortunes they lost in the internet bubble, sapped what little interest remained.

The public cash slushing around VC-land may in fact be repelling private money. Investors turn to VC hoping to attain vast riches by nurturing the next Google or WhatsApp; they are loth to invest alongside governments whose interests lie only partly in turning a profit. State money comes with strings attached, be it an encouragement for venture capitalists (or the companies they finance) to create jobs in particular countries or to focus on certain favoured sectors. This is anathema to private investors, who fear their money would be used to pursue political goals. “I understand why governments invest in venture capital, but they are spoiling it for the rest of us,” says an endowment-fund boss.

Several studies of public VC schemes have found that for every dollar the public sector puts in, the private sector pulls one out. The EIF says it worries about this, so it only matches funds that VC firms attract from private backers. “We are driven by a need and a wish to address market gaps,” says John Holloway, a high-up there.

Some think that the handouts from taxpayers are also impairing the quality of European venture capitalists’ investments. The EIF alone has sunk more than €3.8 billion into 260 venture funds, but provides no data on how its investments have fared. Ho-hum entrepreneurs whose firms only launch because of government backing (and dud firms that would have folded long ago without it) drive down average returns. Meanwhile, funds relying on private capital have to pay more to outbid government-backed rivals.

European funds have poor returns in part because they sell companies too early, missing out on bumper returns that come from placing longer-lasting bets. Government money spurs such conservatism: it is better for a fund to “bank” a good deal and guarantee access to later dollops of government cash than to roll the dice again. Such thinking horrifies private investors.

Several European startups have successfully launched initial public offerings recently, including King.com, which makes an addictive game called Candy Crush Saga, and Criteo, an advertising-technology firm. But both had been backed by American as well as European money, and have listed their shares in America. They may soon be joined by Spotify, a trendy music service that has been European VC’s poster child. Many bright Europeans continue to flock to California before they even start their businesses.

It is not that Europe has no need for innovative startups and the jobs they bring—just the opposite. But entrepreneurs say there are better ways of boosting their chances than dollops of taxpayers’ cash. “We have labour laws designed for workers in large corporations, they don’t work for startups,” says Niklas Zennstrom, a founder of Skype who now runs an (EIF-backed) venture fund. Tax laws in several EU countries make it hard to pay staff with stock options, a standard carrot for American startups. Rules about procurement often favour established firms. More broadly, Europe’s staid business culture is too slow to forgive failure, in contrast to America where setbacks are celebrated as a necessary staging point to success.

Josh Lerner of Harvard Business School compares doling out public-sector cash, EIF-style, to serving a main dish before the table is set. Governments the world over have long backed innovation, for example through public funding of universities. Silicon Valley thrived in part due to bloated defence spending from the 1940s onwards. But that is altogether different from Europe’s approach of picking the firms that pick the winners. Better to make entrepreneurialism pay than to subsidise it.

Now We Get to Worry About Dirt from Outer Space

A Gargantuan Field of Space Dirt Is Coming Our Way

The unprecedented event could turn into the best meteor shower of the year.
ADRIENNE LAFRANCEMAY 22 2014, 2:13 PM ET

The Camelopardalids could be twice as big as the annual Perseid shower, pictured here in 2011. (Ognen Teofilovski/REUTERS)

lead

Our planet is about to pass through a sprawling burst of 200-year-old space dust that could make for a dazzling, never-before-seen meteor spectacle. East Coasters should go outside between 2 a.m. and 4 a.m. Friday night/Saturday morning for the best chance to see the sparkly show.

The May Camelopardalids could bring more than 200 meteors per hour, double what you’d expect at the peak of the well-known Perseids shower. Stargazers have had the chance to see Perseids every July for centuries, but Camelopardalids is brand new to us. The reason: We’re about to encounter the debris field—the stuff that showers into our atmosphere—from the 209P/LINEAR comet for the first time since it was discovered 10 years ago.

“This is a very rare event. It could be nothing or it could be the best meteor shower of the year.”
On May 24, scientists say, Earth will cruise through the debris from 209P. No longer attached to the comet, the field will actually pass Earth five days before 209P does. When we see the debris, the comet itself will still be millions of miles away.

If we see the debris. We still don’t know how much of the meteor shower we’ll actually be able to see from Earth. “We find new meteor showers all the time, but they’re like one meteor a night so you wouldn’t even notice them,” said Bill Cooke, lead for NASA’s Meteroid Environment Office. “This is a very rare event… It could be nothing or it could be the best meteor shower of the year.”

The determining factor comes down to the size of the debris chunks—bits of ice and dirt that broke off of 209P/LINEAR back in the 19th century. We already know that the chunks themselves are relatively slow moving at about 37,000 miles per hour compared with Perseids debris that clocks in at 150,000 miles per hour. Slower debris isn’t as bright when it burns up in the atmosphere, so it has to be bigger in order for us to see it. “Even if you’re a piece of dirty ice, if you hit the atmosphere moving at 37,000 miles per hour, you’re going to burn up and make a spectacular streak,” Cooke told me. “But these guys will have to be fairly large.”

The Draconid meteor shower of 2012, for instance, seemed like a dud from Earth because, even though it had a “huge number of meteors,” they were small and could only be seen on radar. The Camelopardalids shower is part of a debris field that’s about 700 thousand miles wide—about 28 times the circumference of the Earth. “You can think of the debris as on its own little orbit around the solar system,” Cooke said.

Cooke will be up late Friday night, watching the sky and hosting an online chat for NASA. You can catch him between 11 p.m. and 3 a.m. Eastern Time.

How the Internet Continues to Change Our Lives

Change: 19 Key Essays on How the Internet Is Changing Our Lives

Change: 19 Key Essays on How the Internet Is Changing Our Lives, is the sixth issue of BBVA’s annual series devoted to explore the key issues of our time. This year, our chosen theme is the Internet, the single most powerful vector of change in recent history. In the words of Arthur C Clarke, “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” The swiftness and reach of the changes wrought by the Internet indeed have a touch of magic about them.

As a tool available to a reasonably wide public, the Internet is only twenty years old, but it is already the fundamental catalyst of the broadest based and fastest technological revolution in history. It is the broadest based because over the past two decades its effects have touched upon practically every citizen in the world. And it is the fastest because its mass adoption is swifter than that of any earlier technology. To put this into perspective – it was only 70 years after the invention of the aeroplane that 100 million people travelled by air; it took 50 years after the invention of the telephone for 100 million people to use this form of communication. The 100-million user mark was achieved by PCs after 14 years. The Internet made 100 million users after just 7 years. The cycles of adoption of Internet-related technologies are even shorter – Facebook acquired 100 million users in 2 years. It is impossible today to imagine the world without the Internet: it enables us to do things which only a few years ago would be unthinkable, and impinges on every sphere of our lives.

More on Hacking and Government Spying on its Citizens

Watch Dogs is a wake-up call on internet security
Out at the end of May, Ubisoft’s dark thriller is set in a world where everyone’s data is available to warring tech factions

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Nick Cowen
theguardian.com, Wednesday 7 May 2014 10.42 EDT

Watch Dogs

In Watch Dogs, every smartphone can be hacked, giving players access to the personal information of other characters – but it’s all based on real-life scenarios
Most of the time, game protagonists occupy worlds that are utterly fantastical, bearing little resemblance to our own reality. From the space marines of Halo to the artifact-grabbing archeologists of Tomb Raider and Uncharted, our exploits in games are as relatable as blockbuster popcorn cinema. It is all about escapism.

But when a game’s world and the activities of its protagonist start to look like something out of everyday life, it can be unnerving. Owing to the agency conferred on us in this interactive medium, blurring the lines between fantasy and reality can make us feel complicit in the acts we carry out on screen. After all, in video games we often operate by a moral code that we would never replicate in real life. We do questionable things in games.

And this is part of their power, of course. Video games are the only mainstream medium where audience members are active participants; in titles such as Call of Duty and Grand Theft Auto it’s up to you who dies and who doesn’t – and we all respond to that power in different ways.

We like to watch

It’s a notion that gamers are likely to become extremely conscious of while playing Watch Dogs. Ubisoft’s open-world tech-noir thriller, set in an alternative version of modern Chicago, instills a sense of responsibility that many similar action adventures don’t – and this is probably because its paranoia-inducing premise is closer to reality than most of us would like it to be.

The game’s masked protagonist, Aiden Pearce, is a hacker able to gain access to everything from the personal records of a passing smartphone users to government computer infrastructures. Something terrible has happened in his past and now he’s seeking revenge on the shadowy corpration that run’s the city’s Central Operating System – a vast all-powerful computer. Pearce is able to scramble the traffic lights at intersections or deploy sleeping policemen in the paths of speeding cars turning them into piles of shattered glass and twisted metal. He can also take control of security cameras and use them to spy on the civilians wandering about around him.

All of this is accomplished though Aiden’s smartphone and players can access it at anytime; simply choose a passer-by, hack their phone and the life of this computer generated person is open to you. Wandering through the city, you can read the text messages of love-struck teenagers; you can listen in on the conversation between two sisters as one berates the other for being a lousy mother to her four-year-old daughter. It’s even possible to lift the bank details off someone’s phone and later access their account at an ATM. In short, hacking systems in Watch Dogs, is one of the most intoxicating power trips players are likely to experience all year.

Watch Dogs
The lead character can gain access to the city’s infrastructure as well as mobile phones. Doing the latter can often instigate side-quests
There’s just one aspect that players should be conscious of when they sit down at the game’s controls: every single hack in Watch Dogs is based on real-world examples. Every single one. This sounds absurd when one considers that the list of items Pearce is able to crack includes cars, fork-lifts and public utilities. However, according to Alistair Paterson, CEO of Digital Shadow – a company that works to secure the digital footprints of corporations and individuals – the only discrepancy here is one of convenience. “Pretty much all of those [hacks] would be possible,” he says. “The timeliness and the convenience of performing them with one click on a smartphone is not there yet. But in some cases it could be.”

So, a hacker could be listening in to your smartphone chat? “Almost anything connected to the internet can be hacked,” says Paterson. “The latest reports from security researchers show you can even hack cars. Cars are now just really computers with wheels so when someone comes to repair your vehicle they usually bring a laptop these days. They’re very much vulnerable. It’s gone as far as pacemakers, which can also be hacked.”

Jonathan Morin, Creative Director on Watch Dogs says that the development team in Montreal studied real-world hacking and learned how it’s done and where the latest threats are coming from, but he also took the decision to make every hack as easy as possible – just to keep the game’s pace running steadily. “It’s impossible to do all of that hacking with just the press of a button on your phone,” he says, “but it’s possible to hack every target in the game. Tapping into someone else’s phone is easy enough to do from a smartphone – once you have the right system.”

Everything’s connected all the time

What makes all of this possible? According to Paterson it has a lot to do with the fact that Western society has become wholly dependent on internet-connected devices – there are now more of them than there are people on the planet. By 2020 there could be around 50bn connected devices in use, which equate to nearly every technological convenience one interacts with on a day-to-day basis in the developed world. We’ve all heard about the internet of things – the idea that everything from your washing machine to your central heating system could be online and accessible from wherever you are. But with the convenience, comes the potential of abuse.

“Your phone, your house, all of your appliances, all the transport methods that you use to get to work – all of those become a potential security risk,” says Paterson. “And absolutely – without disconnecting them fundamentally from the internet – they can be hacked.”

There’s also the small matter of the interconnectivity; the way each individual’s digital footprint is aligned with others, and how frighteningly unaware many of us are of this. Almost every online interaction one has is recorded digitally in some way and as we use new technologies such as social media and cloud storage and mobile devices – even though we get a lot of benefit from it – unconsciously we’re leaving a trail of data behind us on the Internet. And that data can be sold, swapped between corporations or, as we have seen from the Edward Snowden revelations, requisitioned by government agencies. Or it can just be stolen. The annual cost of cyber-crime is said to be around $100bn and it’s on the rise.

Watch Dogs
Car chases are a little easier when you can hack the traffic lights or even raise bridges to strand your pursuers.
So what does Watch Dogs tell us about protecting ourselves from hackers? Is that even possible anymore, given the game’s rather apocalyptic scenario? Paterson says that protection usually revolves around one’s identity and employment. “For the man in the street, I think it’s good to have a digital footprint and to have a presence online,” he says. “But I think we all really need to be conscious that once we’ve posted something it’s there for good – it will never disappear completely.”

Due to the number of unprotected digital footprints in play – from Twitter updates to those photos you put on Facebook the other day – there is a wealth of information available to unscruplous individuals; it just needs to be connected – and the phrase “Connection is power” just happens to be the first tagline used to tease Watch Dogs. Earlier this year, the developer launched a promotional website for the game, We Are Data, which showed how it was possible to build 3D maps from information on public utilities, social networks and other readily available data. In light of the fact it was launched around the same time the Guardian published Edward Snowden’s leaks about the US National Security Agency’s PRISM data-mining program, We Are Data took on an almost Orwellian tone.

From exaggeration to reality

In fact, in recent months, Watch Dogs has begun to look positively prescient. In light of the revelations from the PRISM scandal, which has essentially put paid to the notion that online privacy is a possibility, awareness concerning one’s digital footprint has become more vital than ever before. Hacking is now a highly commoditised business, with everything from day-one-exploits to crimeware tools up for sale in an ever-growing market.

To hear Paterson tell it, while the skills of Aiden Pearce are, at present, more of a game mechanic than a reflection of reality, it behooves the game’s audience to sit up and take notice. “I think [Watch Dogs] is more of an interesting thought-experiment as to what could happen and, obviously, it’s set up as entertainment,” he says. “But there’s a very real premise behind and I think there’s a very positive aspect to it that it could raise the awareness of this in the mind of the public.”

Morin says that while that’s not something Ubisoft wants to ram down the throat of its audience, it certainly wants Watch Dogs to prompt a discussion. “At the very least, you want people talking about their online behavior,” he says. “The game exploits one fundamental aspect of what I think we all have – curiosity.”

“What is that person across the road talking about on their phone? Who is that person texting? What’s going on behind that door across the road? If you get sucked into that aspect of the game, it’ll tell you something about yourself in how you react to what you see.”

Unlike most other games where your engagement in the world is direct – someone hits you, you hit back – Watch Dogs offers players a more passive way of invading the lives of others. It’s a power trip, but one that multitudes of people engage in every day. However the game works when it’s released, it should encourage players to take stock and cogitate on the reality they’ve glimpsed. Because the world of Watch Dogs may not be some wild vision of the distant future. It isn’t science fiction or cyberpunk. It’s the reality we inhabit right now, just viewed through a very purposeful lens. So look around.

• Watch Dogs is released on PC, PS3, PS4, Xbox One and Xbox 360 on 27 May. A Wii U version is set to follow in the autumn.

How to Write Like Shakespeare

HOW TO WRITE LIKE SHAKESPEARE

Notes on a Voice: Robert Butler on the world’s most famous dramatist

From INTELLIGENT LIFE magazine, January/February 2012

Shakespeare

He was born in 1564 in a provincial English town, educated at the local grammar school, and became the greatest playwright of his age. His name was Christopher Marlowe, he wrote seven plays, and died aged 29. William Shakespeare was born the same year, also educated at his local grammar, wrote 37 plays, and became the greatest playwright of all. English provincial grammar schools in the 1570s must have been hot stuff. Shakespeare would have been introduced to Ovid’s “Metamorphoses”, comedies by Plautus and Terence and tragedies by Seneca. He studied rhetoric, the Bible and the English countryside. He practised composition or “turning”, the school exercise of taking a passage from the classics and producing a variation. That became his career.

Key Decision

To ditch the classical unities of time, place and action in favour of pleasing an audience of 1,500+ ranging from courtiers to groundlings. He crossed continents and spanned decades, he used ghosts, witches, shipwrecks, sword-fights, snatched kisses, mistaken identities, eavesdropping, cross-dressing, jokes, songs and masques. Since stage design was strictly limited, most of the visual effects, from the long shots to the close-ups, take place within the poetry.

Strong Points

He inherited the iambic pentameter from Chaucer, Spenser and Marlowe and raised it to a sublime complexity. From 1590 to 1611, he developed this ten-syllable short-long rhythm from the simple rhetorical constructions of the early history plays to the knotty fractured lines of the great tragedies, which make us feel the struggles of the characters: Brutus in his garden ponders the assassination of Caesar; Hamlet hangs back from killing his stepfather while he’s at prayer; Leontes seethes with jealousy as his wife chats with his best friend. By capturing thought as it unfolds, Shakespeare presents a modern vision of human nature, suggestible, contradictory and pulsing with nervous energy. As Othello says to Iago: “I prithee speak to me/as thou dost ruminate, and give the worst of thoughts/the worst of words”.

Golden Rule

Use other people’s material. Shakespeare was the rewrite man Hollywood can only dream of. Give him Plutarch’s 80-page essay on Mark Antony and he’ll give you the 3,500-line tragedy “Antony and Cleopatra”. He was unencumbered by modern anxieties of originality, only inventing the plot for “The Tempest” and one or two others. Unlike some rewrite men, he doesn’t tidy up the original, he untidies it. He takes plays with happy endings and leaves them ambivalent, he obscures motive (Coleridge wrote of Iago’s “motiveless malignity”) and adds seemingly extraneous characters and glancing scenes. He introduced 2,000 new words (“horrid”, “lonely”, “zany”) and many everyday phrases (“flesh and blood”, “cruel to be kind”). His work occupies an eighth of the “Oxford Dictionary of Quotations”.

Favourite Trick

The 180-degree turnaround, one character changing the mind of another with sheer rhetorical verve: Richard III woos Lady Anne after killing her husband; Volumnia pleads with her implacable son Coriolanus not to sack Rome; Antony turns the crowd against the conspirators after Caesar’s death.

Role Model

Marlowe threw down one challenge after another: “The Jew of Malta”, “Dido Queen of Carthage”, “Edward II”, “Dr Faustus” and “Tamburlaine Pts 1 & 2”. Shakespeare responded with “The Merchant of Venice”, “Antony and Cleopatra”, “Richard II”, “Macbeth”, “Henry IV Pts 1 & 2” and “Henry V”.

Typical Sentence

Out of nearly 1m words, the sentence that best captures the internal drama, the unbearable pressure of the divided mind, is in “Julius Caesar”: “Between the acting of a dreadful thing/And the first motion, all the interim is/Like a phantasma or a hideous dream.”

The World Shakespeare Festival 2012 includes all 37 plays staged at the Globe, London, in 37 languages; Simon Russell Beale as Timon of Athens at the National; Jonathan Pryce as King Lear at the Almeida; and the exhibition Shakespeare: Staging the World at the British Museum

Robert Butler is online editor of Intelligent Life and the ex-drama critic of the Independent on Sunday. He interviews Ralph Fiennes about “Coriolanus” here

Illustration by Kathryn Rathke

Bringing The United State’s Goverment Printing Office into the Digital Age

Does the 153-year-old Government Printing Office need a digital-era name?

BY JOSH HICKS
April 18 at 1:43 pm

The Senate may vote soon on a bipartisan bill that would give the 153-year-old Government Printing Office a new name to better reflect its digital-age work.
The legislation, sponsored by Sens. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) and Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.), would swap the word “printing” for “publishing” to make the agency the Government Publishing Office. It also would change the top two GPO officials’ titles from “public printer” and “deputy public printer” to ”director” and “deputy director.”
Supporters of the measure say the current GPO name ignores the agency’s past and present efforts to reinvent itself for modern times with digital offerings such as e-books, apps and the Federal Digital System, which allows the public to search for, browse and download official publications from all branches of the government.

GPO
A member of the GPO apprentice class of 1940 uses a Monotype typesetters. (Courtesy of GPO).
A member of the GPO apprentice class of 1940 uses a Monotype typesetters. (Courtesy of GPO).

“The name Government Publishing Office better reflects the services that GPO currently provides and will provide in the future,” said Senate Rules and Administration Committee Chairman Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.).

The committee moved the bill to the full Senate on April 10, two days after the GPO announced it had reached a new milestone: One billion documents viewed or downloaded from the Federal Digital System.
The government provides the GPO with relatively little help in funding its operations, with congressional appropriations accounting for about 16 percent of its budget. As such, the agency largely relies on sales of printed and digital products to make ends meet.

Public Printer Davita Vance-Cooks has focused on changing the way people think about the GPO and its offerings since taking office in August 2013.
“GPO’s services have evolved over time and are continuing to trend digital,” Vance-Cooks said in a statement. “The advancement of the legislation validates GPO’s efforts to provide Congress, federal agencies and the public with government in formation in the forms and formats they want and need in this digital age.”

Josh Hicks covers the federal government and anchors the Federal Eye blog. He reported for newspapers in the Detroit and Seattle suburbs before joining the Post as a contributor to Glenn Kessler’s Fact Checker column in 2011. Josh graduated from Albion College and Stanford. He also lived in New Zealand for eight months working as a commercial fisherman and fruit picker.